【俄媒】乌若放弃中立 或将成为西方的反俄桥头堡

2014-09-20 06:02:54来源:互联网

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这些努力的主要目的是阻止乌克兰加入北约并保持其不结盟地位

  “Already, in the space of the next 1–2 months, fighting may spill over from the Donetsk and Lugansk people’s republics to other regions, and there may be a collapse of the economy, as well as the social, housing and public utility spheres, which could lead to a new political crisis,” Andrei Epifantsev, an independent Russian political analyst, told RBTH. “In such a situation, Russia would have to work on not achieving a compromise, but creating a buffer between the totally anti-Russian, half-ruined and militarily defeated Ukraine and its own territory,” said Epifantsev.

  这一缓冲区可能就是从敖德萨到哈尔科夫的整个新俄罗斯,它将成为德涅斯特河东岸共和国那样、一个被部分承认并受到俄罗斯保护的新国家。

  He argues that this buffer zone, which would include the Donbass, could stretch from Odessa to Kharkov, and would become a new partially recognized state under the protection of Russia, something like the breakaway pro-Russian republic of Transnistria in Moldova.

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  然而,与西方的流行观点不同的是,俄罗斯并不希望这种情况的出现。首先,俄罗斯的天然气管道经过西乌克兰通往欧洲,其安全性此时将受到威胁;其次,显而易见,莫斯科将不得不在其国际地位未得到承认的条件下供养上述地区并恢复其经济。

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  However, contrary to popular opinion in the West, Russia would like to avoid such a scenario. Firstly, this is because the gas pipeline from Russia to Europe runs through Western Ukraine, and its safety would be jeopardized under this scenario. Secondly, it is clear that Moscow would have to maintain and rebuild these territories, and this under the conditions of their internationally unrecognized status.

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